Harvard Business Review
Managerial influence in the implementation of new technology
Management Science
Journal of Systems and Software
How to anticipate the Internet's global diffusion
Communications of the ACM
Competitor and vendor influence on the adoption of innovative applications in electronic commerce
Information and Management
Bringing non-adopters along: the challenge facing the PC industry
Communications of the ACM - Digital rights management
Information Systems Research
Opening the "Black Box" of Network Externalities in Network Adoption
Information Systems Research
Research Commentary: The Next Wave of Nomadic Computing
Information Systems Research
Understanding mobile handheld device use and adoption
Communications of the ACM - Mobile computing opportunities and challenges
Vertical Integration and Information Technology Adoption: A Study of the Insurance Industry
HICSS '05 Proceedings of the Proceedings of the 38th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences - Volume 08
International Diffusion of Digital Mobile Technology: A Coupled-Hazard State-Based Approach
Information Technology and Management
A time-based assessment of the influences, uses and benefits of intermediary website adoption
Information and Management
Solving the startup problem in Western mobile Internet markets
Telecommunications Policy
Demand for telecommunication services in developing countries
Telecommunications Policy
Modeling Internet firm survival using Bayesian dynamic models with time-varying coefficients
Electronic Commerce Research and Applications
Diffusion models of mobile telephony in Greece
Telecommunications Policy
Information Technology and Management
The adoption of hyped technologies: a qualitative study
Information Technology and Management
What drives global ICT adoption? Analysis and research directions
Electronic Commerce Research and Applications
Exploring the determinants of the OSS market potential: The case of the Apache web server
Telecommunications Policy
Are there contagion effects in information technology and business process outsourcing?
Decision Support Systems
Information Technology and Management - Special issue on New Theories and Methods for Technology Adoption Research
Information and communication technology and the sustainability of microfinance
Electronic Commerce Research and Applications
Event history, spatial analysis and count data methods for empirical research in information systems
Information Technology and Management
Mapping worldwide mobile networks: Some problems and indicative solutions
Telecommunications Policy
Examining the growth of digital wireless phone technology: A take-off theory analysis
Decision Support Systems
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There is increasing empirical evidence from academic research and strong recognition among policymakers that wide diffusion and innovative uses of digital wireless phones are important sources of a country's economic growth and social development. Adopters do not necessarily adopt digital wireless phones at the same time though. Although the diffusion of innovation theory suggests five adopter categories according to their degree of innovativeness, this approach lacks theoretical justification and, more importantly, it makes a critical assumption of a normal distribution of adopters that needs empirical validation. This study investigates the basis for defining different adopter categories and factors that affect adoption decisions of digital wireless phones using the aggregate data on 46 developed and developing countries from 1992 to 2002. This paper utilizes a two-step analysis approach. The first step evaluates the distribution of adopters over time using various diffusion models. The second step uses iterative survival analysis to examine the patterns of influential factors on adoption behavior by evaluating the survival models using a 1% increment of cumulative penetration as the targeted events. The results of the best-fitting diffusion models indicate that digital wireless phone adoption patterns did not follow a normal distribution and did not map exactly into Rogers' five adopter categories. The results from the iterative survival analysis suggest four adopter categories (innovators, early adopters, breakthrough adopters, and mainstream adopters) among the first 30% of adopters. Different factors are observed to influence various adopter categories' adoption decisions. The results offer insights to support telecommunication operators to develop strategies to attract these adopters. It also supports policymakers' efforts to design effective regulatory frameworks.