Knowledge-based scenario management - Process and support

Authors:
Daud M. Ahmed;David Sundaram;Selwyn Piramuthu
Affiliations:
The School of Computing and Information Technology, Manukau Institute of Technology, Manukau City, Auckland, New Zealand;Information Systems & Operations Management, The University of Auckland Business School, Auckland, New Zealand;Information Systems and Operations Management, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611-7169, USA
Venue:
Decision Support Systems
Year:
2010

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Abstract

Scenario planning is a widely accepted management process for decision support activities. Though conventional decision support systems provide a strong database, modeling and visualization capabilities for the decision maker, they do not explicitly support scenario management. We propose an integrated life cycle approach for knowledge-based scenario-driven decision support incorporating three interrelated frameworks at different abstraction levels to support this process. The macro-level knowledge-based framework guides the Meso-level Scenario-driven framework, and these two in turn guide and inform the micro-level process-oriented framework. We develop a domain independent, component-based, and layered architecture to support the scenario management process and framework. The framework and architecture are realized through a concrete prototype.